The continued closure of Pakistan’s border crossings with Afghanistan, combined with rising regional tensions and the Middle East crisis, has placed growing pressure on Pakistan’s foreign trade sector. Business Recorder described the two developments as major economic shocks that have seriously challenged the country’s trade outlook and external revenues.
According to the newspaper, the combined impact of these developments could inflict losses of around $1.4 billion on Pakistan’s external trade sector.
The publication said the figures were based on an official document from Pakistan’s Commerce Ministry.
The report stated that the border closures have disrupted parts of the regional transport chain and left thousands of transit containers stranded. It also predicted that the situation could reduce Pakistan’s direct exports to Gulf Cooperation Council countries by around $600 million over the next three to six months.
Business Recorder warned that if the situation continues, it could weaken Pakistan’s domestic production stability and reduce the competitiveness of its exports in global markets. At the same time, rising energy prices are expected to increase the country’s import costs.
After tensions escalated between Kabul and Islamabad in October last year, Pakistan closed eight border crossings with Afghanistan, severely disrupting the movement of goods and trade between the two countries.
In response, the Taliban administration gave traders three months in late 2025 to settle their contracts in Pakistan and shift to alternative trade routes.
At the same time, the Taliban has sought to reduce Afghanistan’s commercial dependence on Pakistan and expand trade routes through Iran and Central Asian countries.
Earlier, Pakistan’s central bank reported that trade between Pakistan and Afghanistan had fallen by around 60% over the past seven months.
According to available figures, the value of bilateral trade declined from $2.461 billion in 2024 to $1.766 billion in 2025.
Statistics from the Taliban Commerce Ministry also show that Afghanistan’s exports to Pakistan dropped from $817 million in 2024 to $505 million in 2025.
Afghanistan’s imports from Pakistan also fell during the same period, from $1.644 billion to $1.261 billion, reflecting a significant decline in trade exchanges between the two countries.